Why Is Keeping a Forex Trading Journal Important for Successful and Failed Trades?
Given that almost every broker offers real-time access to your trade history, you might question why you need to keep a separate trading journal. It may be argued that the broker's records also maintain track of available buying power, margin utilization, and profits and losses from each trade. However, here are some reasons why maintaining a distinct forex trading diary can be helpful. Join multibank group trading bonus program.
Archival Evidence
The journal, as time goes
on, will offer a look back at events. In addition to detailing every deal
you've made; it also shows you exactly where your trading account stands
briefly. In other words, it becomes your very own performance database,
allowing you to look back in time and analyse things like your trading
frequency, the success of individual trades, the relative performance of
different currency pairs, and the optimal trading time frame for maximizing
your profits.
instrument for planning
A good forex trading journal should not only include
information about the mechanics of each deal, but it should also include
information about your objectives and tactics for completing those trades. You
can plan out your trades in advance with the help of this feature. You may choose
where to join the trade, how much risk you are ready to accept, where you will
put your profit objective, and how you will manage the trade as it develops.
With the help of a
notepad, you may transform abstract ideas into concrete objectives that you can
work toward. It is the basis for a strategy, which begins with the formulation
of a plan and then moves on to the actual implementation of that plan.
Examining the
Authenticity of Methods
Keeping a forex trading notebook also has the added
benefit of confirming your strategy over time, which is crucial. The
effectiveness of your system under varying market conditions may then be
evaluated. It will shed light on issues like, "How did my system perform
in a trending market, a range-bound market, different time periods, and the
impact of your trading actions like placing stop-loss orders, too tight or
lose?" The trading journal needs to be exhaustive if the trader is to
preserve all the intricacies of the reasoning behind a certain approach.
Transforming Thought
Forms
The genuine assistance
that your journal gives you in forcing you to change negative habits to
positive ones will be one of the most beneficial features of your notebook. As
you get experience trading with your technique, you will have an increased
sense of confidence. Your successful trades will feel less random if you have a
plan, and your losses will be less of a psychological blow because you will
have expected them. This is because you will have planned for them.
In the world of finance
and business, your level of self-assurance is an essential psychological and
mental advantage to have. The cure for the vicious cycle of fear and greed that
many forex traders will enter
is to have confidence in one's trading abilities. The emotions of fear and
greed are reflexive and programmed responses for a lot of people. When you are
winning, you want to keep winning. When you are losing, however, you may
experience stress or even fear as your balance dips below zero. When you are
ahead, you want to keep winning.
Maintaining a record of
your trading activities will assist you in developing a strategy by outlining
the steps you'll need to take to achieve your goals, evaluating the success of
your trades, and most importantly, learning from your mistakes. Keeping a
record of your forex trading activities
will also assist you in learning from your mistakes. As you progress as a
trader, you will gradually grow to regard your journal as a reliable source of
information.
Journal Parts One and
Two
It is suggested to
establish a trade journal to achieve these goals.
The best way to keep
track of your progress is using a detailed spreadsheet that displays your
trades in a columnar format and allows you to add them up over time. To do this
effectively, you must write all the relevant information in the appropriate
columns by hand. Keeping tabs is as easy as opening an Excel spreadsheet, which
can perform basic calculations for you and eliminate human error. This is
dependent on how proficient you are with spreadsheet modelling.
You should have a
printout of the actual chart you used to evaluate the trade, with unambiguous
markings at the entry level, the stop-loss level, and the potential profit
level. Write down why you decided to make the swap.
Finally, you should
maintain a diary for each forex trading strategy you
apply. Do not combine systems; doing so will lead to inconclusive trading
results as too many factors will be considered. Because of this, it is
recommended that traders who employ multiple trading systems or methodologies
maintain separate journals for each.
If you stick to a single
system for all your recorded trades, you'll be able to determine the system's
expected return on investment (ROI) after only 20 trades.
The probability formula
is as follows:
Expectancy = Average
Winning Trade/Average Losing Trade/Win Ratio (in Percentage)/Loss Ratio (in
Percentage)/Start Aligned = Left 1 + Fraction of W/L/Win Ratio (in
Percentage)/Right 1/End Aligned
Expectancy = [1+LW]
×P−1
where:
W = Average Winning
Trade
L= Average Losing Trade
P = Percentage Win
Ratio
Say you made 10 trades
and 6 of them were winners while the other 4 were losers; your win ratio would
be 60% (6/10) or 6 out of 10. The average profit would be $400 if you made
$2,400 from six trades. If you had four losses totalling $1,200, the average of
those losses would be $300. When these numbers are plugged into the equation,
we get:
P= [1+300400] ×.6−1=.4
or 40%. If your method
has a 40% positive expectation, it will make you money over the long term.
The Crux of the Matter
You will be able to act
with confidence once you have determined the expectation of your system.
Execution relies heavily on one's level of self-assurance. If you lack
confidence, you will not be able to execute your trades in accordance with your
plans.
Instead, you will either
question your own decisions or become immobilized from overanalysing the data
that is coming in from the forex market times.
Neither of these outcomes is desirable. Create a habit of keeping a trading log
as your initial trading routine. It will become indispensable to you in the
future for all the profitable deals you make.
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